source("Main.R")
##
## Attaching package: 'dplyr'
## The following objects are masked from 'package:stats':
##
## filter, lag
## The following objects are masked from 'package:base':
##
## intersect, setdiff, setequal, union
## Warning in eval(ei, envir): NAs introduced by coercion
## Warning in eval(ei, envir): NAs introduced by coercion
marco_rubio_data<-republican_party_primary_polling|>filter(Candidate=="Marco Rubio")|>mutate(Poll_Boundary=ifelse(State=="NULL","Nationwide",State))
print(marco_rubio_data)
## Candidate Polling Pollster Nationwide State
## 1 Marco Rubio 2.0 Echelon Insights 1 NULL
## 2 Marco Rubio 5.0 Echelon Insights 1 NULL
## 3 Marco Rubio 1.0 Morning Consult 1 NULL
## 4 Marco Rubio 3.0 McLaughlin & Associates 1 NULL
## 5 Marco Rubio 2.0 McLaughlin & Associates 1 NULL
## 6 Marco Rubio 4.0 Echelon Insights 1 NULL
## 7 Marco Rubio 4.0 McLaughlin & Associates 1 NULL
## 8 Marco Rubio 4.0 Echelon Insights 1 NULL
## 9 Marco Rubio 4.0 YouGov/Economist 1 NULL
## 10 Marco Rubio 6.0 Overton Insights 1 NULL
## 11 Marco Rubio 4.0 Echelon Insights 1 NULL
## 12 Marco Rubio 3.0 Yale Youth Poll 1 NULL
## 13 Marco Rubio 8.0 Club for Growth NULL Iowa
## 14 Marco Rubio 2.0 YouGov/The Times 1 NULL
## 15 Marco Rubio 3.0 J.L. Partners 1 NULL
## 16 Marco Rubio 2.0 McLaughlin & Associates 1 NULL
## 17 Marco Rubio 4.0 Echelon Insights 1 NULL
## 18 Marco Rubio 6.0 J.L. Partners 1 NULL
## 19 Marco Rubio 18.7 Atlas Intel 1 NULL
## 20 Marco Rubio 4.0 McLaughlin & Associates 1 NULL
## 21 Marco Rubio 12.0 Emerson College 1 NULL
## 22 Marco Rubio 5.0 co/efficient 1 NULL
## 23 Marco Rubio 1.0 Emerson College 1 NULL
## 24 Marco Rubio 5.0 McLaughlin & Associates 1 NULL
## 25 Marco Rubio 9.0 Atlas Intel 1 NULL
## 26 Marco Rubio 9.0 Overton Insights 1 NULL
## 27 Marco Rubio 7.0 Echelon Insights 1 NULL
## 28 Marco Rubio 4.0 McLaughlin & Associates 1 NULL
## 29 Marco Rubio 9.7 Atlas Intel 1 NULL
## 30 Marco Rubio 5.3 Emerson College NULL North Carolina
## Sample_Size Voter_Type DMY
## 1 932 Registered Voters 2024-07-19
## 2 483 Likely Voters 2024-11-14
## 3 994 Registered Voters 2024-12-06
## 4 453 Likely Voters 2025-01-22
## 5 463 Likely Voters 2024-12-11
## 6 466 Likely Voters 2025-02-10
## 7 468 Likely Voters 2025-02-11
## 8 457 Likely Voters 2025-03-10
## 9 594 Registered Voters 2025-03-30
## 10 536 Registered Voters 2025-03-24
## 11 450 Likely Voters 2025-04-10
## 12 NA NULL 2025-04-01
## 13 564 Likely Voters 2025-04-14
## 14 1296 NULL 2025-04-22
## 15 1006 Registered Voters 2025-04-23
## 16 456 Likely Voters 2025-04-24
## 17 426 Likely Voters 2025-05-08
## 18 975 Registered Voters 2025-05-13
## 19 1044 NULL 2025-05-22
## 20 455 Likely Voters 2025-06-10
## 21 416 Registered Voters 2025-06-24
## 22 1035 Likely Voters 2025-06-12
## 23 420 Registered Voters 2024-11-20
## 24 457 Likely Voters 2025-05-21
## 25 2347 NULL 2025-04-11
## 26 444 Registered Voters 2025-06-23
## 27 463 Likely Voters 2025-07-10
## 28 459 Likely Voters 2025-07-09
## 29 1935 NULL 2025-07-13
## 30 416 Likely Voters 2025-07-28
## Link
## 1 https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/july2024-verified-voter-omnibus-2-2-2-2/
## 2 https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/nov-2024-verified-voter-omnibus/
## 3 https://pro.morningconsult.com/analysis/2028-gop-primary-polling-december-2024
## 4 https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/National-January-Presentation-RELEASE-01-28-25.pdf
## 5 https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/National-December-Presentation-RELEASE-12-17-24.pdf
## 6 http://echelonin.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/February-2025-Voter-Omnibus-Topline-External.pdf
## 7 https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/National-February-Presentation-RELEASE-02-18-25.pdf
## 8 https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/march-2025-verified-voter-omnibus-2-2-2/
## 9 https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econtoplines_S1a74K0.pdf
## 10 https://overtoninsights.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/Overton-Insights-Poll-April-2025-Crosstabs-Party-Ideology-2024-Vote-1.pdf
## 11 https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/april-2025-verified-voter-omnibus-2-2-2-2/
## 12 https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1JhSWPVcKK6tdufsa52TeRk3JRwSsgtglVQP1ZAa8fg4/edit?gid=396464130#gid=396464130
## 13 https://x.com/axiosalex/status/1912612448898626028
## 14 https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/times_20250425.pdf
## 15 https://floridapolitics.com/archives/735360-desantis-poll-28/
## 16 https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/National-April-Presentation-RELEASE-04-29-25.pdf
## 17 https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/may-2025-verified-voter-omnibus-2-2-2-2-2/
## 18 https://www.telegraph.co.uk/us/politics/2025/05/16/jd-vance-is-runaway-republican-candidate-polling-reveal/
## 19 https://cdn.atlasintel.org/20c89f8f-d65e-4991-a491-388ae96986c9.pdf
## 20 https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/National-June-Presentation-RELEASE-6-16-25.pdf
## 21 https://emersoncollegepolling.com/june-national-poll/
## 22 https://coefficient.org/national-ice-protests-study/
## 23 https://emersoncollegepolling.com/november-2024-national-poll-trump-favorability-jumps-post-election-2028-election-kicks-off-with-harris-and-vance-leading-primaries/
## 24 https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/National-May-Presentation-RELEASE-05-27-25.pdf
## 25 https://cdn.atlasintel.org/e3edc86b-aac7-4ebe-9ef7-6a8346f658f6.pdf?_gl=1*1po007n*_ga*NjMxOTI2NjYxLjE3NDQ5Mjc1MzM.*_ga_W78QD5CNP1*MTc0NDkyNzUzMy4xLjAuMTc0NDkyNzUzMy4wLjAuMA
## 26 https://overtoninsights.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/July-2025-Poll.pdf
## 27 https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/july-2025-verified-voter-omnibus-2-2-2-2-2-2-2/
## 28 https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/National-July-Presentation-RELEASE-07-15-25.pdf
## 29 https://atlasintel.org/poll/usa-national-2025-07-18
## 30 https://emersoncollegepolling.com/north-carolina-2026-poll-cooper-starts-us-senate-race-with-six-point-lead-and-clear-name-recognition-advantage-over-whatley/
## Poll_Boundary
## 1 Nationwide
## 2 Nationwide
## 3 Nationwide
## 4 Nationwide
## 5 Nationwide
## 6 Nationwide
## 7 Nationwide
## 8 Nationwide
## 9 Nationwide
## 10 Nationwide
## 11 Nationwide
## 12 Nationwide
## 13 Iowa
## 14 Nationwide
## 15 Nationwide
## 16 Nationwide
## 17 Nationwide
## 18 Nationwide
## 19 Nationwide
## 20 Nationwide
## 21 Nationwide
## 22 Nationwide
## 23 Nationwide
## 24 Nationwide
## 25 Nationwide
## 26 Nationwide
## 27 Nationwide
## 28 Nationwide
## 29 Nationwide
## 30 North Carolina
marco_rubio_chart<-marco_rubio_data|>ggplot(aes(x=DMY,y=Polling,color=Poll_Boundary))+geom_point(alpha=0.6)+geom_line()+scale_x_date(date_breaks="3 months")+labs(title="Marco Rubio",x="Date",y="Polling (%)")
marco_rubio_chart
marco_rubio_summary<-marco_rubio_data|>summarise(avg_polling=round(mean(Polling),digits=2),weighted_avg_polling=round(sum(Polling * Sample_Size/(sum(Sample_Size,na.rm=TRUE)),na.rm=TRUE),digits=2),
standard_deviation=round(sd(Polling),digits=2),maximum_polling=max(Polling),minimum_polling=min(Polling),median_polling=median(Polling))
print(marco_rubio_summary)
## avg_polling weighted_avg_polling standard_deviation maximum_polling
## 1 5.22 5.95 3.68 18.7
## minimum_polling median_polling
## 1 1 4