source("Main.R")
##
## Attaching package: 'dplyr'
## The following objects are masked from 'package:stats':
##
## filter, lag
## The following objects are masked from 'package:base':
##
## intersect, setdiff, setequal, union
## Warning in eval(ei, envir): NAs introduced by coercion
## Warning in eval(ei, envir): NAs introduced by coercion
tim_walz_data<-democratic_party_primary_polling|>filter(Candidate=="Tim Walz")|>mutate(Poll_Boundary=ifelse(State=="NULL","Nationwide",State))
print(tim_walz_data)
## Candidate Polling Pollster Nationwide State
## 1 Tim Walz 7.0 Morning Consult 1 NULL
## 2 Tim Walz 6.0 Echelon Insights 1 NULL
## 3 Tim Walz 9.0 Echelon Insights 1 NULL
## 4 Tim Walz 5.0 Echelon Insights 1 NULL
## 5 Tim Walz 5.0 Morning Consult 1 NULL
## 6 Tim Walz 5.0 Echelon Insights 1 NULL
## 7 Tim Walz 4.0 Data For Progress 1 NULL
## 8 Tim Walz 5.0 Quantus Insights 1 NULL
## 9 Tim Walz 3.0 YouGov/The Times 1 NULL
## 10 Tim Walz 4.0 McLaughlin & Associates 1 NULL
## 11 Tim Walz 4.0 McLaughlin & Associates 1 NULL
## 12 Tim Walz 3.0 McLaughlin & Associates 1 NULL
## 13 Tim Walz 3.0 McLaughlin & Associates 1 NULL
## 14 Tim Walz 4.0 YouGov/Economist 1 NULL
## 15 Tim Walz 4.0 Morning Consult 1 NULL
## 16 Tim Walz 4.0 McLaughlin & Associates 1 NULL
## 17 Tim Walz 10.0 co/efficient 1 NULL
## 18 Tim Walz 5.0 Echelon Insights 1 NULL
## 19 Tim Walz 7.0 Overton Insights 1 NULL
## 20 Tim Walz 5.0 Rasmussen Reports 1 NULL
## 21 Tim Walz 3.0 Echelon Insights 1 NULL
## 22 Tim Walz 4.0 McLaughlin & Associates 1 NULL
## 23 Tim Walz 8.7 Atlas Intel 1 NULL
## 24 Tim Walz 3.3 Emerson College NULL North Carolina
## Sample_Size Voter_Type DMY
## 1 1012 Registered Voters 2024-11-15
## 2 457 Likely Voters 2024-11-14
## 3 447 Likely Voters 2025-02-10
## 4 457 Likely Voters 2025-03-10
## 5 NA Registered Voters 2025-03-14
## 6 1014 NULL 2025-04-10
## 7 745 Likely Voters 2025-04-09
## 8 1000 Registered Voters 2025-04-21
## 9 1296 NULL 2025-04-22
## 10 418 Likely Voters 2025-02-11
## 11 442 Likely Voters 2025-04-24
## 12 414 Likely Voters 2025-01-22
## 13 439 Likely Voters 2025-05-21
## 14 650 Registered Voters 2025-03-30
## 15 1000 Registered Voters 2025-06-13
## 16 434 Likely Voters 2025-06-10
## 17 1035 Likely Voters 2025-06-12
## 18 471 Likely Voters 2025-05-08
## 19 396 Registered Voters 2025-06-23
## 20 1229 Likely Voters 2025-06-25
## 21 505 Likely Voters 2025-07-10
## 22 444 Likely Voters 2025-07-09
## 23 1935 NULL 2025-07-13
## 24 445 Likely Voters 2025-07-28
## Link
## 1 https://pro.morningconsult.com/analysis/kamala-harris-2028-democratic-primary-polling-november-2024
## 2 https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/nov-2024-verified-voter-omnibus/
## 3 http://echelonin.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/February-2025-Voter-Omnibus-Topline-External.pdf
## 4 https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/march-2025-verified-voter-omnibus-2-2-2/
## 5 https://links.morningconsult.com/s/vb/1lz390XhGEbaH0JBI-kfBgI3j37keAUfilDiUXDQgYmIVQJ0MfiiXsutcRARmrW5O31nuJvpsPZkxkzeqZevGUwf7u2RIcvmy7IQFozhmy_SpgPgr5kmdsE_4c2EMoWD1etkNrKTPE939Wb_zs7LzPgZVKyFXefDShoGbg/y2DwDJIrXtRipwgN998cnZgGR1frvEEM/7
## 6 https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/april-2025-verified-voter-omnibus-2-2-2-2/
## 7 https://www.filesforprogress.org/datasets/2025/4/dfp_zeteo_d_primary_2028.pdf
## 8 https://quantusinsights.org/f/split-nation-unready-party-the-strategic-drift-of-2025
## 9 https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/times_20250425.pdf
## 10 https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/National-February-Presentation-RELEASE-02-18-25.pdf
## 11 https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/National-April-Presentation-RELEASE-04-29-25.pdf
## 12 https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/National-January-Presentation-RELEASE-01-28-25.pdf
## 13 https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/National-May-Presentation-RELEASE-05-27-25.pdf
## 14 https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econtoplines_S1a74K0.pdf
## 15 https://pro.morningconsult.com/analysis/2028-democratic-primary-gavin-newsom-polling-june-2025
## 16 https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/National-June-Presentation-RELEASE-6-16-25.pdf
## 17 https://coefficient.org/national-ice-protests-study/
## 18 https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/may-2025-verified-voter-omnibus-2-2-2-2-2/
## 19 https://overtoninsights.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/July-2025-Poll.pdf
## 20 https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration_second_term/harris_2028_former_vp_still_leads_democratic_field
## 21 https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/july-2025-verified-voter-omnibus-2-2-2-2-2-2-2/
## 22 https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/National-July-Presentation-RELEASE-07-15-25.pdf
## 23 https://atlasintel.org/poll/usa-national-2025-07-18
## 24 https://emersoncollegepolling.com/north-carolina-2026-poll-cooper-starts-us-senate-race-with-six-point-lead-and-clear-name-recognition-advantage-over-whatley/
## Poll_Boundary
## 1 Nationwide
## 2 Nationwide
## 3 Nationwide
## 4 Nationwide
## 5 Nationwide
## 6 Nationwide
## 7 Nationwide
## 8 Nationwide
## 9 Nationwide
## 10 Nationwide
## 11 Nationwide
## 12 Nationwide
## 13 Nationwide
## 14 Nationwide
## 15 Nationwide
## 16 Nationwide
## 17 Nationwide
## 18 Nationwide
## 19 Nationwide
## 20 Nationwide
## 21 Nationwide
## 22 Nationwide
## 23 Nationwide
## 24 North Carolina
tim_walz_chart<-tim_walz_data|>ggplot(aes(x=DMY,y=Polling,color=Poll_Boundary))+geom_point(alpha=0.6)+ theme_gray(base_size=14)+geom_line()+scale_x_date(date_breaks="3 months")+labs(title="Tim Walz",x="Date",y="Polling (%)")
print(tim_walz_chart)
tim_walz_summary<-tim_walz_data|>summarise(avg_polling=round(mean(Polling),digits=2),weighted_avg_polling=round(sum(Polling * Sample_Size/(sum(Sample_Size,na.rm=TRUE)),na.rm=TRUE),digits=2),
standard_deviation=round(sd(Polling),digits=2),maximum_polling=max(Polling),minimum_polling=min(Polling),median_polling=median(Polling))
tim_walz_summary
## avg_polling weighted_avg_polling standard_deviation maximum_polling
## 1 5.04 5.43 1.97 10
## minimum_polling median_polling
## 1 3 4.5